Prognostic factors in transitional cell cancer of the bladder: an emerging role for Bcl-2 and p53.

Bcl-2, Bax and p21 positivity were detected immunohistochemically on paraffin-embedded pre-treatment biopsies from 83 patients with invasive transitional cell cancer (TCC) of the bladder, treated with radiotherapy. In addition, markers determined in an earlier analysis, i.e.: p53, apoptotic index, cyclin D1, retinoblastoma protein and Ki-67 were included in the multivariate analysis. A stepwise proportional hazard analysis was performed, adjusting for classic prognostic factors (T-stage, grade, multifocality and macroscopic completeness of the TUR). Positivity was defined as >10% of tumor cells staining positive for Bcl-2, Bax and p21, and >20% for p53.

This study provides evidence for a poor outcome in patients treated with radiotherapy for TCC of the bladder expressing both Bcl-2 and p53. This relationship was found for local control and disease-free, disease-specific and overall survival.

Bcl-2 positivity was found in 63%, Bax was positive in 52% and p21 in 55% of cases. In the PH analysis Bcl-2 positivity was found to be related to poor local control (36 vs. 72% at 3 years; P=0.003), as well as to shorter disease-specific survival (74 vs. 94% at 3 years; P=0.017). Evidence for an adverse effect of p53 positivity was also found (local control: 32 vs. 69% at 3 years;P=0.037, disease-specific survival: 76 vs. 92% at 3 years; P=0.043). In an additional PH analysis, we found poor local control rates for bladder cancers with combined Bcl-2 and p53 positivity (17 vs. 65% at 3 years; P=0.0017), and lower disease specific survival (60 vs. 92%; P=0.0024), disease-free survival (7 vs.35%, P=0.0023) and overall survival (39 vs. 80%; P=0.0018).

In a recent study on patients with transitional cell cancer of the bladder treated with curative radiotherapy following TUR-T, we demonstrated that a low apoptotic index and p53 positivity were associated with poor local control. The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of additional markers implicated in regulation of cell cycle and apoptosis.