A WGS-based tumor type 'cancer of unknown primary prediction algorithm' (CUPPA) was developed based on previously described principles and validated on a large pan-cancer WGS database of metastatic cancer patients (>4000 samples) and 254 independent patients, respectively. We assessed the clinical value of this prediction algorithm as part of routine WGS-based diagnostic work-up for 72 CUP patients.
In ∼3%-5% of patients with metastatic disease, tumor origin remains unknown despite modern imaging techniques and extensive pathology work-up. With long diagnostic delays and limited and ineffective therapy options, the clinical outcome of patients with cancer of unknown primary (CUP) remains poor. Large-scale genome sequencing studies have revealed that tumor types can be predicted based on distinct patterns of somatic variants and other genomic characteristics. Moreover, actionable genomic events are present in almost half of CUP patients. This study investigated the clinical value of whole genome sequencing (WGS) in terms of primary tumor identification and detection of actionable events, in the routine diagnostic work-up of CUP patients.
CUPPA correctly predicted the primary tumor type in 78% of samples in the independent validation cohort (194/254 patients). High-confidence predictions (>95% precision) were obtained for 162/254 patients (64%). When integrated in the diagnostic work-up of CUP patients, CUPPA could identify a primary tumor type for 49/72 patients (68%). Most common diagnoses included non-small-cell lung (n = 7), gastroesophageal (n = 4), pancreatic (n = 4), and colorectal cancer (n = 3). Actionable events with matched therapy options in clinical trials were identified in 47% of patients.
Genome-based tumor type prediction can predict cancer diagnoses with high accuracy when integrated in the routine diagnostic work-up of patients with metastatic cancer. With identification of the primary tumor type in the majority of patients and detection of actionable events, WGS is a valuable diagnostic tool for patients with CUP.