Implications for clinical practice
The findings are especially relevant because many patients enrolled in NICHE-2 had locally advanced tumors associated with a high risk of recurrence.
The long-term outcomes strengthen the evidence supporting neoadjuvant immunotherapy as an effective treatment strategy for dMMR colon cancer. These findings are also in line with previous data in melanoma, where pathologic response to neoadjuvant immunotherapy is also strongly associated with improved outcomes. Results from NICHE-2 have already contributed to international treatment guidelines and the adoption of this approach in several countries, including Norway, Scotland and Uruguay. Efforts are ongoing to make the treatment available to eligible patients in the Netherlands.
Circulating tumor DNA provides insights into treatment response
Alongside the survival analysis, the researchers investigated circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a potential biomarker of response to neoadjuvant immunotherapy.
CtDNA was detectable in blood samples from most patients before treatment. Among patients with detectable ctDNA at baseline and available follow-up samples, ctDNA clearance was observed in 45% after the first treatment cycle and 82% after the second cycle, prior to surgery. After surgery, none of the patients had detectable ctDNA, in line with the absence of recurrences.
These findings demonstrate the rapid molecular response to immunotherapy in dMMR colon cancer. Patients who remained ctDNA positive before surgery were likely to have residual disease, suggesting that ctDNA could eventually help identify limited responders in whom treatment might be escalated. Conversely, the sensitivity of preoperative ctDNA testing for residual disease is insufficient on its own to reliably identify all patients with a pathological complete response. Further refinement and combination with other diagnostic approaches will be important going forward.
The next challenge: identifying patients who may safely avoid surgery
One of the questions arising from NICHE-2 is whether surgery could eventually be omitted in selected patients with a complete response to immunotherapy. In 68% of patients, no viable tumor was found in the resection specimen, yet at present, this can only be confirmed by pathological examination after surgery. Reliably identifying these patients beforehand remains a major challenge.